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Atiku's Demagoguery in the Face of Tinubu's Logical Policies

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar’s recent press conference in Abuja—where he attacked NNPC Retail’s 30-day discount on petrol price and a modulation framework—is a seminal example of shallow, election-laced demagoguery.

Atiku “Kachalla”, totally unplugged from global realities and consumed by an unbridled lust for power, is a Lone Ranger.
In the United Kingdom, because the international oil market affects local pump prices, Prime Minister Andy Burnham offered Britons a Google Maps link to find the best gas prices. Google Maps' Fuel Prices feature helps drivers compare near-real-time petrol and diesel prices at local forecourts.

In America, President Donald Trump signed an executive order titled "Emergency Tax Relief on Diesel Fuel" on October 5, 2026 and announced a diesel supply deal with Russia, not minding if it derails his avowed commitment to end the Russia-Ukraine war.

In close to 10 other countries, leaders are employing various means to provide relief for citizens. But in Nigeria, a President offers the same, and a misguided presidential candidate chooses to dance on the sufferings of Nigerians and exploit it for political gains.

For decades, political opportunism in Nigeria has relied on a single, toxic formula: exploit temporary transitional discomfort, appeal to emotional cynicism, and promise mathematically impossible quick fixes to a sophisticated electorate.

Calling a calibrated, multi-layered economic stabilisation strategy a "panic-driven gimmick" reveals more than partisan bitterness; it exposes a profound, structural ignorance of global energy dynamics, fiscal mechanics, and the plain arithmetic of modern Nigeria.

Atiku’s soundbite-driven critique relies on emotional bait, trying to buy future votes with cheap sentimental appeals while ignoring the structural rot that President Tinubu’s administration has systematically dismantled over the last three years.

Atiku's attempt to position himself as the "smart student" teaching economic policy falls apart under even light scrutiny.
First, it is sheer absurdity that a man who graduated from a school of hygiene dares to call a first-class accounting graduate a dull student.

Second, Atiku’s proposal for a blanket "production subsidy" is not an alternative economic model—it is a dangerous mathematical fantasy wrapped in political deceit.

Unhinged, Atiku Abubakar arrogantly claims that President Tinubu copied his economic homework while stripping away the core element that makes it work: the "production subsidy."

But let us examine the actual numbers that Atiku deliberately conceals from the Nigerian public.

As Coordinating Minister of the Economy and Minister of Finance Taiwo Oyedele clearly articulated on Channels TV, Nigeria currently produces about 1.8 million barrels of crude oil per day (bpd) for a population of over 200 million people. Simplistic populists like Atiku deliberately deceive citizens by pretending that the Federal Government directly owns all 1.8 million barrels and can distribute or discount them at will.

Under complex Joint Ventures (JVs) and Production Sharing Contracts (PSCs) signed over decades, production costs, royalties, and profit-oil sharing ratios severely reduce the equity crude available to the state. After accounting for these statutory and contractual obligations, Nigeria has fewer than 700,000 barrels per day of unencumbered "free crude" to give away.

Mega-refineries like the Dangote Petroleum Refinery require immense daily feedstock that far exceeds what the state can freely provide without breaching existing international supply contracts or bankrupting national revenues.
Consequently, Dangote and other domestic refiners must supplement local supplies by importing crude from international markets.

To propose a blanket "targeted production subsidy" on crude without the physical, unencumbered volume to back it up is pure economic illiteracy. It invites the very opacity, fraudulent round-tripping, and fiscal haemorrhage that crippled Nigeria for decades under the old subsidy regime.

Compare Nigeria’s numbers with those of other global oil producers. The United States produces over 10 million barrels per day for 330 million people, yet sells petroleum strictly at market-determined prices. Qatar holds some of the world's largest gas reserves for under 500,000 citizens, yet had to cut energy subsidies significantly to maintain long-term fiscal health.

As Minister Oyedele noted, comparing local crude allocation to local agricultural produce like garri or cassava—a misleading analogy popularised by media commentary—is a fundamental misrepresentation of global commodity markets and contractual energy economics. For Atiku to suggest that Nigeria can fund unlimited production subsidies without bankrupting the state is either financially reckless or fundamentally dishonest.

*Price Modulation vs Subsidy Restoration: Unpacking the 30-Day Strategy*

Atiku’s attempt to frame NNPC Retail’s decision to forgo its profit margin as a "return to the fuel subsidy" is a deliberate mischaracterisation designed to mislead the public and incite public dissatisfaction. First, NNPC had offered the discount to celebrate the 66th Independence anniversary. It merely offered to extend the discount by another 30 days.

The administration’s intervention is a market-smoothing price modulation framework, not a return to unbudgeted federal spending. When NNPC Retail agrees to sell fuel at landing cost for 30 days during an unprecedented global crude price spike, it is not writing checks to opaque import cartels. It is leveraging its corporate balance sheet to absorb short-term global volatility, backed directly by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Furthermore, the Federal Government’s negotiation of an interim N1,350 per litre ceiling on ex-gantry costs is a structural shock absorber, not price control. Under this framework, refiners and importers absorb short-term cost spikes above the ceiling and recover those costs later when global crude prices cool or local exchange rates adjust. N1,400 today and N1,400 tomorrow provides far greater economic stability than N1,500 today and N1,300 tomorrow.

Rapid, erratic price swings trigger immediate, panic-driven hikes in commercial transport fares that rarely decrease even when fuel prices drop. The ceiling protects commuters from permanent hikes in transport prices. The ceiling is reviewed transparently every month based on published cost audits, preventing the hidden accumulation of opaque state liabilities.

*Structural Solutions: The Administration’s Multi-Pronged Economic Approach*

While critics offer cheap soundbites, the Tinubu administration has deployed concrete, structural policies across the entire energy and economic value chain by establishing a state-backed strategic energy reserve to release refined products whenever global supply disruptions or private hoarding threaten price stability—securing long-term supply without fixing market prices.

President Tinubu's administration is rapidly expanding Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) infrastructure in partnership with state governments. At 60-70% cheaper than premium motor spirit (PMS), CNG offers a permanent structural alternative for commercial transporters.

The government has secured domestic refining operations through naira-for-crude arrangements to insulate pump prices from foreign exchange volatility. It has introduced windfall taxes on energy operators that attempt to gouge consumers during crises, explicitly earmarking the revenue for transport vouchers and minimum-wage support.
President Tinubu's government is already enforcing the 2025 tax reform laws to dismantle illegal road levies and using NIPOST digital address codes to reduce freight and food distribution costs drastically.

*The Record Speaks: Concrete Dividends of the Tinubu Reforms Since 2023*

Atiku’s narrative asks Nigerians to forget the unsustainable fiscal precipice the nation faced before May 2023. The courageous removal of the toxic fuel subsidy and the unification of the distorted foreign exchange market were not choices of convenience; they were surgical interventions required to save the Nigerian economy from total collapse.

Despite global headwinds, these foundational reforms have delivered dividends across multiple sectors. The multi-trillion-naira drain that starved state governments of capital for education, healthcare, and infrastructure has permanently stopped.

Nigeria's wealth now goes directly to the 36 states and local governments. They now receive record federal allocations through FAAC, unlike in the past, when corrupt fuel-smuggling syndicates benefited.

Second, the government eliminated multi-day fuel queues. For decades, Nigerians spent days sleeping at filling stations due to artificial scarcity, hoarding, and unpaid subsidy claims. Today, despite global energy shocks, fuel queues have been eradicated nationwide because market forces drive supply.

The dangerous gap between the official and parallel exchange rates—which let well-connected political elites collect official dollars cheaply and sell them on the black market for instant billions—has been eliminated. The administration has curtailed currency round-tripping, restoring international confidence in Nigeria's financial systems.

Third, direct social safety nets and wage support. Rather than subsidising the fuel tanks of wealthy SUV owners, the administration redirected funds into direct cash transfers for millions of vulnerable households, subsidised credit funds for micro and small enterprises, and enhanced wage awards for civil servants.

Fourth is infrastructure expansion and energy independence. By operationalising local refining through naira-crude agreements and launching massive national infrastructure projects—such as the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway, Sokoto-Badagry Superhighway, and nationwide rail networks—Nigeria is building the physical backbone required for single-digit inflation and sustained industrial growth.

*Sophistication Over Demagoguery*

Atiku Abubakar’s attempt to equate complex economic governance with an exam paper copied by a "dull student" insults the Nigerian electorate. Nigerians understand that chronic economic ailments built over thirty years cannot be cured by populist slogans or 30-day electioneering promises.

The alternative Atiku offers—resurrecting opaque subsidy regimes under the guise of "production subsidies" without the crude volumes to back them—is the exact road to ruin that almost brought Nigeria to its knees before May 2023. It represents the old way of doing business: short-term palliative bribes funded by unsustainable national debt, leading directly to scarcity, currency collapse, and fiscal bankruptcy.

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration has chosen the hard, courageous, and necessary path. By coupling market deregulation with targeted price-smoothing mechanisms, strategic reserves, rapid CNG rollout, and disciplined fiscal management, the administration is laying a permanent foundation for sustainable prosperity.

The Nigerian electorate is far too sophisticated to trade long-term national economic security for Atiku’s shallow, short-term demagoguery.

Sunday Dare is Special Adviser to the President on Media and Public Communications
 

Atiku's Demagoguery in the Face of Tinubu's Logical Policies
Back Page
12-Oct-2026

Refinery IPO: Why Dangote Foundation is targeting 5 million Students, 2 million Vulnerable Women

In a bold move to deepen retail participation in Nigeria’s capital market, the Aliko Dangote Foundation (ADF) has unveiled a share grant initiative aimed at helping up to five million tertiary students and two million vulnerable women become shareholders in Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals through its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of ADF, Zouera Youssoufou, disclosed that the Foundation will match qualifying share subscriptions by eligible beneficiaries. Under the programme, students who subscribe for the minimum 10 shares worth N5,250 will receive an additional 10 shares funded by the Foundation, subject to the approved process and allocation, effectively doubling their holdings to 20 shares.
Speaking during a television interview, Youssoufou said the initiative was designed to turn the refinery’s “People’s IPO” vision into reality by giving traditionally underserved groups a direct stake in one of Africa’s largest industrial assets.
“When Aliko announced the IPO, he described it as the IPO of the people and wanted as many Nigerians as possible to participate,” she said.
According to her, students and vulnerable women were specifically selected because they have historically been underrepresented in the capital market.
ADF said it is prepared to support up to five million students enrolled in Nigerian tertiary institutions, including universities, polytechnics and colleges of education. Eligible applicants must be at least 18 years old and enrolled in a recognised institution. The Foundation is working with relevant educational authorities to verify beneficiaries.
Youssoufou revealed that about N25 billion has been earmarked for the student component of the scheme, while the broader programme for students and vulnerable women is valued at approximately N40bn.
She emphasised that the intervention is a grant, not an investment, with all shares ultimately belonging to the beneficiaries.
“The shares end up with the beneficiary. Our goal is to help people who may never have had the opportunity to own shares begin building long-term wealth,” she said.
Beyond students, ADF plans to support up to two million vulnerable women, including widows, women living in extreme poverty, persons with disabilities, and widows of members of the Armed Forces. The Foundation is partnering with state governments, the Ministry of Women Affairs, the Armed Forces and other institutions to identify eligible participants.
According to Youssoufou, the initiative is not only about widening ownership in the refinery but also about promoting financial literacy, encouraging a culture of savings and investment, and helping Nigerians build sustainable wealth through participation in the capital market.
Credit Dangote Group PR

Refinery IPO: Why Dangote Foundation is targeting 5 million Students, 2 million Vulnerable Women
Economy
12-Oct-2026

Tinubu welcomes World Bank Report on Nigeria, says 'it confirms my Economic Reforms yielding fruits'

President Bola Tinubu says the World Bank’s October 2026 Nigeria Development Update confirms his administration’s economic reforms are yielding results and strengthening the economy for sustained growth.

This is contained in a statement by Presidential Spokesperson, Bayo Onanuga, on Sunday in Abuja.

Tinubu welcomed the report, titled ‘Beyond the Federal Purse: How Higher Revenues Reshaped State Priorities’, highlighting improvements in economic growth, revenue generation and fiscal management.

The President noted the World Bank’s finding that Nigeria’s poverty rate had stabilised for the first time since 2019.

He said poverty was expected to decline gradually as economic growth outpaced population growth.

According to the report, the economy grew by 4.2 per cent in the first half of 2026, compared with 3.9 per cent in 2025.

The growth occurred despite the impact of the Middle East conflict, while the World Bank projected average growth of at least 4.4 per cent between 2026 and 2028.

The report showed that inflation declined from 27.6 per cent in January 2025 to 15.2 per cent in December 2025.

However, higher global fuel prices linked to the Middle East conflict slowed the decline, although inflation was projected to ease to about 12 per cent by 2028.

Nigeria’s external position also improved, with its current account surplus reaching 12 billion dollars, representing 7.0 per cent of GDP, in the first half of 2026.

This compared with 8.6 billion dollars recorded in the corresponding period of 2025.

Gross external reserves increased from 45.5 billion dollars at the end of 2025 to 53.8 billion dollars at the end of August 2026.

The report attributed the gains to reforms introduced since 2023, which increased federation revenues by 69 per cent in real terms between 2023 and 2025.

State governments emerged as the largest beneficiaries, with capital expenditure increasing by 151 per cent in real terms over the period.

Much of the additional spending went towards roads, transport, agriculture, energy and housing.

The report noted that 29 of the 33 states shifted spending towards economic infrastructure, while real social spending per capita increased in all but one state.

It also found that internally generated revenue grew in real terms in 31 of 35 states.

Meanwhile, 21 states reduced their debt-to-GDP ratios between 2021 and 2025.

Nigeria’s overall public debt was projected to decline from 40.0 per cent of GDP in 2025 to 38.1 per cent in 2026.

Tinubu said the findings demonstrated the impact of his administration’s decisions to remove the petrol subsidy, unify the foreign exchange market and strengthen fiscal discipline.

“The difficult but necessary decisions to remove the petrol subsidy, unify the foreign exchange market and strengthen fiscal discipline have raised revenues.

“The decisions have also stabilised the economy and created fiscal space for every tier of government to invest in its people. The dividends of reform are becoming visible.

“But more work remains to ensure they fully translate into better living standards for every household, starting with lower food prices and decent jobs for our young people.

“Our administration will stay the course of reform and redouble its focus on inclusive growth under the Renewed Hope Agenda,” he said.

The President said the administration would expand targeted cash transfers, accelerate Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) deployment, raise agricultural productivity and improve access to affordable healthcare and quality education.

“We will continue to expand targeted cash transfers, which have already reached more than 10 million households.

“We will accelerate the deployment of CNG, raise agricultural productivity, and improve access to affordable healthcare and quality education.

“I urge state governments to use their higher revenues more prudently and prioritise projects that improve the living standards of Nigerians, and the health and education of our people,” Tinubu said.

The President commended the Economic Management Team, led by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, state governors and other stakeholders for supporting the reforms.

“I assure Nigerians that the best is yet to come under the Renewed Hope Agenda 2.0, which will accelerate the delivery of shared prosperity for all Nigerians,” he said.

Credit NAN: Texts excluding Headline

Tinubu welcomes World Bank Report on Nigeria, says 'it confirms my Economic Reforms yielding fruits'
Economy
12-Oct-2026

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